Singapore hotel industry decimated by Covid-19

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Singapore hotel occupancy was 51% in February, bringing RevPAR declines for the month to 41%.

Performance is likely to deteriorate further as occupancies have since fallen to 20%.

Worst even months expected in Mar/Apr.

On track for worst-ever monthly performance: Singapore hotel RevPAR dropped 41% on average, according to data released by the Singapore Tourism board for the month of February.

This was a result of average hotel occupancy shrinking 37ppt to 51% (ARR: +2% YoY). These numbers are about to worsen come March, which is shaping up to be the worst month in history for the industry.

Deputy Prime Minister Heng announced on March 26 that Singapore hotel occupancy has since reached 20% – materially below the trough occupancy of 34% last seen during the SARS period (May-03).

Assuming room rates stay unchanged in Mar-20, we estimate an unprecedented RevPAR decline of 76% for the month.

Murky outlook for Singapore hospitality in wake of Covid-19: Operational headwinds expected for the Singapore hotel industry, in light of the Covid-19 pandemic, which has more recently brought about border closures in Singapore (announced March 22).

Hospitality is the worst-hit asset class from the pandemic in the March 26 relief measures announced during Singapore’s Supplementary Budget 2020.

Decline in Singapore hotel occupancy, average room rates and revpar 1993 to 2020 due to Covid-19
Morgan Stanley: Occupancy and average room rate hitting new lows